Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.007890 0.009252 0.010880 0.013000 0.015734 0.019208 0.024070
2025-07-20 0.006243 0.007899 0.010112 0.013393 0.018343 0.025922 0.039330
2025-07-27 0.005249 0.006967 0.009431 0.013426 0.020183 0.032188 0.058359
2025-08-03 0.004600 0.006328 0.008947 0.013503 0.021990 0.039230 0.085567
2025-08-10 0.004027 0.005682 0.008293 0.013079 0.022688 0.044491 0.115434
2025-08-17 0.003530 0.005073 0.007578 0.012355 0.022513 0.047720 0.144865
2025-08-24 0.003157 0.004610 0.007027 0.011802 0.022506 0.051433 0.184358
2025-08-31 0.002970 0.004422 0.006918 0.012074 0.024469 0.062195 0.290180
2025-09-07 0.002731 0.004121 0.006561 0.011758 0.024886 0.068525 0.400568
2025-09-14 0.002508 0.003823 0.006170 0.011296 0.024767 0.073017 0.529109
2025-09-21 0.002366 0.003653 0.005999 0.011284 0.025916 0.083904 0.851829
2025-09-28 0.002277 0.003568 0.005977 0.011608 0.028214 0.103129 1.790045
2025-10-05 0.002215 0.003538 0.006089 0.012351 0.032528 0.143352 8.349612
2025-10-12 0.002120 0.003439 0.006049 0.012724 0.035936 0.189562 122.919588
2025-10-19 0.002008 0.003295 0.005893 0.012755 0.038126 0.235859 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001911 0.003171 0.005763 0.012827 0.040616 0.299629 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001791 0.002992 0.005491 0.012432 0.040801 0.338659 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001665 0.002791 0.005147 0.011756 0.039326 0.348582 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001560 0.002625 0.004870 0.011239 0.038459 0.369567 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001512 0.002571 0.004844 0.011494 0.041830 0.509546 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001435 0.002453 0.004656 0.011199 0.042032 0.582703 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001357 0.002326 0.004437 0.010766 0.041231 0.624898 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001308 0.002257 0.004349 0.010754 0.043054 0.804570 NaN